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Guotai Junan: A shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. Recently, Guotai Junan's 2025 strategy meeting will be held in Shenzhen. The conference made an in-depth discussion and comprehensive outlook on the hot topics of market concern and the investment strategy in 2025. Fang Yi, chief strategist of Guotai Junan, said in an interview that the bottom of the A-share market has emerged, which is optimistic about the prospects of China stock market. The key driving force for the market to start comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference. After a long period of continuous adjustment, the pessimistic expectation and microstructure of A-shares are fully clarified, and the positive signal of decision-makers to steady economic growth and support the capital market is an important cornerstone for the upward revision of long-term expectations and the elevation of the bottom of the stock market. Looking forward to the A-share market in 2025, Fang Yi said that there is still room for the optimistic policy expectation at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, and A-shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. However, in the case of rising geopolitical conflict risks, the stock index may face a staged headwind. However, as the market stabilizes and revises the economic and policy expectations, the stock index is expected to strengthen again in the second half of 2025. (shanghai securities news)Securities Daily: Vigorously boosting consumption is the focus of the current macro policy. The article said that consumption is the ballast stone for stable economic operation. However, we must also see that residents' consumer confidence still needs to be enhanced. Therefore, it is necessary to take multiple measures simultaneously, constantly consolidate the foundation of consumption growth, enhance residents' willingness and ability to consume, and promote the sustained recovery of the consumer market. First, increase residents' income through multiple channels and improve their spending power. Second, further support the trade-in of consumer goods. Third, promote the upgrading and expansion of service consumption. Promoting consumption is the main starting point for expanding domestic demand, and boosting consumption is the focus of macroeconomic policy. We firmly believe that with the continuous efforts of various policy initiatives, consumer confidence will continue to increase and consumption potential will continue to be released.Morgan Stanley upgraded Hongyuan Green Energy Co., Ltd. to parity.

Swiss national bank: ready to intervene in the foreign exchange market when necessary.Australia's S&P/ASX200 index opened up 17.50 points, or 0.21%, at 8371.1 points on Thursday, December 12th.Morgan Stanley downgraded Hikvision to equal rating, with a target price of RMB in 36 yuan. Andy Meng, an analyst at Morgan Stanley, was previously rated as over-matched. The target price is 36 yuan RMB, which is up by 14%.

The performance of deep thinking AI model exceeds the existing weather forecast. A study published in the new issue of Nature reported the latest machine learning model introduced by deep thinking. The model can make reliable probabilistic weather forecast according to current and future weather, and its performance not only exceeds the best traditional medium-range weather forecast, but also can better predict extreme weather, tropical cyclone route and wind energy production.Korean media: Six members of South Korea's ruling party supported the impeachment of Yin Xiyue. According to the East Asia Daily, six members of South Korea's ruling National Power Party supported the impeachment motion against President Yin Xiyue. The report did not quote the source. The opposition party needs at least eight people in the ruling party to vote in favor of the motion. Five members of the National Power Party publicly expressed their support, and one member who asked not to be named hinted to the newspaper that he supported the motion.Adobe's performance guidance fell less than expected by more than 9% after hours. Adobe gave disappointing performance guidance for fiscal year 2025, highlighting concerns that this creative software giant may be subverted by emerging startups based on artificial intelligence. The company said in a statement on Wednesday that it expects revenue of about $23.4 billion in the fiscal year ending November 2025. Earnings per share excluding some items are expected to be $20.2-$20.5. Analysts expect an average revenue of $23.8 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $20.52. Adobe, known for its software for creative professionals, is adding generative AI functions to its applications, such as embedding its proprietary model Firefly into products such as Photoshop. Adobe released an AI tool for making videos at the annual user conference in October, which has been embedded in the editing application Premiere and is gradually being promoted to the public. Adobe shares fell more than 9% in after-hours trading.